17 января 2023

Nagorno-Karabakh: The West Is Pushing for Destabilization, Russia Is Interested in a Settlement, But the Parties Must Also Show Responsibility

Disturbing news comes again from the zone of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh. Some confidence in a peaceful settlement was inspired by the results of the talks between the presidents of Russia and Azerbaijan and the Prime Minister of Armenia. Why with the prime minister - in Armenia, the fullness of power is no longer concentrated in the hands of the president, but in the hands of the prime minister.

But literally on the eve of the New Year, the situation suddenly began to deteriorate. Some "extraneous" forces began to appear, not provided for by the agreements of the leaders, who began to interfere in the situation. In fact, we can say that some people are not playing a completely fair game. Azerbaijani "eco-activists" have blocked the only highway that connects the unrecognized republic with Yerevan. According to Armenian sources, Nagorno-Karabakh does not receive goods, including food and medicines. The Republic is forced to unpack the strategic reserve. The Armenian opposition is holding protests near the Russian military base 102 in the city of Gyumri, accusing Russian peacekeepers of inaction and failure to fulfill their duties.

As previously reported, as part of the trilateral agreements of November 9, 2020, Russia, at the request of the parties, deployed a peacekeeping contingent in the Lachin corridor, designed to prevent the escalation of tension, which is fraught with a humanitarian catastrophe. Over the past period, everyone had the opportunity to verify the correctness of this decision, which made it possible, on the one hand, to separate the warring parties and avoid the blockade of Stepanakert.

Already from the name of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict it is obvious who are its direct participants and who abundantly watered it with their blood at the end of the last century. It is they who are primarily interested in preventing a new escalation of tension, which could lead to far-reaching tragic consequences. All the more surprising at first glance is the synchronicity of the actions of the parties against each other, and therefore against the cause of peace. But, if we remember that both Armenia and Azerbaijan, to put it mildly, look with great respect towards the United States, a lot can be understood.

The main beneficiary of a possible igniting of a smoldering hotbed of tension between the two former Soviet peoples is the United States of America and its allies, which, at least with their statements and through their covert and overt levers of influence, are fomenting the situation in this already explosive region.

It was hard not to notice that the intensification of blockades, protests and other obstacles to the peace process on both sides is observed precisely at a time when Russia's military successes in the special operation zone are obvious, and their opponents are suffering heavy losses. Recall that Russia has taken Soledar, is developing an offensive against Bakhmut, and the Ukrainian side is no longer saved by the supply of foreign weapons, and the possibilities of new mobilizations are also pretty exhausted. Therefore, the countries opposing Russia really need a second front.

Earlier, the Ukrainian side and some US allies asked Georgia to open a second front, but the Georgian leadership, led by President Zurabishvili, showed great responsibility for the fate of its people and refused to go on another military adventure on the occasion of forces hostile to Russia. They probably understand that the hostility of these forces to Russia does not at all imply their friendliness towards Georgia - after all, no one uses a friend for their own purposes to the detriment of this very friend! What kind of friends of Georgia are they, if they want Georgian youth to die for the sake of their selfish interests?

But the failure in Georgia did not discourage Washington. They have turned the spearhead of their propaganda and inflammatory diplomacy to other countries of the Caucasus, Central Asia, etc. They are pumping weapons to still peaceful Moldova, provoking its already flammable president Maria Sandu to launch a military attack on Transnistria. Of course, the last thing the United States thinks about is what awaits these countries if they succumb to the persuasion and exhortations of warmongers. Afghanistan showed this perfectly in its tragic example, from where the States shamefully fled, leaving their friends and servants to be torn to pieces by the victorious Taliban. Georgia has drawn a conclusion, but, unfortunately, it seems that not everyone has learned the lessons from this tragedy. Somewhere else they believe the "word of honor" of the Yankees.

Meanwhile, we have grown a little wiser over the past 30 years, and we already see perfectly well that the main organizers and participants in the Armenian and Azerbaijani protests against Russian peacekeepers are activists of anti-Russian organizations and representatives of pro-American NGOs, which are financed directly or indirectly (through shell funds) from the Agency United States International Development (USAID). For 2023, USAID plans to distribute $120 million to Armenian NGOs. Last year this figure did not exceed $20 million. Of the $120 million mentioned, $68 million is earmarked directly for "promoting democracy." Given the example of Ukraine, one can only guess what is hidden behind this harmless to the ignorant wording.

The European Union does not lag behind the United States, which also does not deprive Armenia of its NGO programs. Of course, it is quite reasonable to speak about the coordinated management of the republic's civil society by the collective West. 30 years of virtually undivided domination of the West in the region with a very modest role of Russia has led to the fact that during this time the solution of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict has not come even a millimeter closer. Moreover, the mutual hatred of the parties has reached its most extreme point.

There is reason to fear that provocateurs from one side or the other may join the protests in the Lachin corridor and use weapons against their enemies or even against Russian peacekeepers in order to provoke a far-reaching tragic chain of events. They, according to the plan of Western puppeteers, should lead to the resumption of hostilities.

Washington intends to use the Armenian-Azerbaijani contradictions to extend its military influence to this corner of the Transcaucasus. To do this, he wants, first of all, to remove Russian peacekeepers from the conflict zone, and in the future, Russian troops from Armenia. Therefore, Washington is playing to aggravate the conflict through its puppet "environmental", "patriotic" and other organizations in Armenia and Azerbaijan. He intends, in case of success of his plan, that is, the aggravation of the situation, to actively promote the demand for the replacement of Russian peacekeepers with “civilian” EU and OSCE missions. Their presence, as it seems to the Americans, will be possible on the basis of a mandate, which in this case will not be difficult to agree between the two warring republics after Russia's unconditional exclusion from the format of peace negotiations. Of course, this is aimed at discrediting Russia's many years of peacekeeping efforts, nullifying its efforts to resolve the situation and causing a split in its relations with the Transcaucasian republics. As already noted, the ultimate goal of the United States of coordinated actions by the United States and its local puppets is the weakening of Russia's influence in the region, the closure of 102 Russian military bases and the withdrawal of Russian troops from the territory of Armenia.

What awaits the region without Russia's stabilizing role is absolutely indifferent to Washington. Both the Americans and the collective West as a whole are indifferent to the fate of both Armenians and Azerbaijanis. Saakashvili was for the United States the most obedient conductor of their evil will in his country, but now he is in prison, his health is deteriorating every day, he is practically rotting alive, but the White House does not give a damn about him and sneeze. Armenians and Azerbaijanis have no reason to think that the States are more sincere with them than with their most devoted servant. The actions of the US and the West in general to destabilize the situation are aimed at provoking a full-scale military conflict, which is contrary to the vital interests of both Armenia and Azerbaijan. Moscow is so closely connected with both Armenia and Azerbaijan in all spheres that it simply cannot but be most sincerely vitally interested in ensuring lasting peace and stability in the Transcaucasus, is interested in creating the necessary conditions for a peaceful life and good neighborliness for both peoples.

But they, in turn, must show political maturity and propose fundamentally new, even innovative, mutually acceptable steps and programs for destabilization. Even if for this you need to make certain concessions to each other, in order, in turn, to get something from each other. Of course, on a strictly parity basis. For the sake of the future.

Inal Pliev,
Source: https://cominf.org/node/1166547688

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