07 марта 2024

Macron Continues His Dangerous Game In The Caucasus

The government of French President Macron, “concerned” with the problems of Armenia, sharply intensified military and military-technical cooperation with Armenia and began to supply it with various types of weapons, including heavy ones.

A French military mission was opened at the embassy in Yerevan, where the post of military attaché was established. Along with the expansion of the range of supplied weapons, the institutionalization of interaction between the two countries in the defense sector has increased.

Skillfully and artistically playing the role of a mourner about the difficult situation of the Armenian people after the tragic end of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic, France wants to coldly plunge Armenia into an even greater tragedy.

Naturally, no matter how large the volume of supplies of French weapons to Armenia, there can be no talk of any military victory by Armenia over Azerbaijan and Turkey in order to return the territory of Nagorno-Karabakh (let’s be realistic). But the goal of French policy in the current world political conditions is to unleash a major international military conflict in close proximity to Russian borders. According to the plan of Paris - with the subsequent sluggish, or even active involvement of Moscow in another armed confrontation against the backdrop of a Special Military Operation. Naturally, Paris does not care in the slightest about the fate of ordinary Armenians and, first of all, Armenian military personnel. The extremely anti-Armenian forces ruling in Armenia know this very well, and they obediently carry out the most harmful “wishes” of their foreign “friends” for the country.

Here we should note that French-Turkish relations are not cloudless. They are complicated by various contradictions, which does not allow countries to establish a real friendly dialogue. Seeing Turkey as a powerful economic competitor, Paris refuses to support Ankara's European integration aspirations. Negotiations have been going on for many decades, but there are serious stumbling blocks along the way.

France, through the mouths of its politicians at various levels, has repeatedly substantiated the lack of prospects for Turkey’s early entry into the EU with vague and vague statements about “Ankara’s departure from pan-European values.”

Naturally, Ankara is not very pleased with such hypocritical steps by France, which is formally an ally of Turkey. But Paris decided to go further. We have already written about last year’s deliveries of 50 French armored personnel carriers to Yerevan. The Macron government’s decision to increase military-technical cooperation with Armenia, Turkey’s key adversary in the Transcaucasus, was a resonant hostile attack on its NATO partner and a gross disregard for its vital interests.

By pumping arms into Yerevan, Paris, relying on local revanchists, is provoking a new round of escalation of tension in the region up to a direct armed clash between Armenia and Azerbaijan, which is a strategic ally of Turkey. Paris is undermining Euro-Atlantic solidarity and creating serious preconditions for a deep split within NATO. We, of course, are not concerned about intra-NATO relations, but we mention them to show how serious France’s intentions are to plunge the peoples of the region into a bloody catastrophe.

On the one hand, the intensification of France's foreign policy in the Transcaucasus fits into the general paradigm of conflict relations between Paris and Ankara. Countries cannot divide spheres of influence in the Mediterranean region; they often take opposite approaches to resolving the situation in Libya and Syria. However, the disdain that the French leader demonstrates towards Turkish interests in the South Caucasus can be interpreted as an actual attack on the unity of the North Atlantic Alliance.

In the meantime, if we rely only on information from official sources, it turns out that France is treacherously creating an anti-Turkish alliance with Yerevan to weaken Ankara’s position in Transcaucasia. The strengthening of Turkey's position in its neighboring regions is considered by Paris solely as a threat to its interests. A full-scale military conflict could weaken Turkey to a certain extent. In an effort to contain Ankara's ambitions, the government of E. Macron is increasing its own influence in the Transcaucasus. Similar work is being carried out by France in the Mediterranean.

A number of experts believe that such actions by Paris are openly anti-Turkish in nature and contradict the principles of Euro-Atlantic solidarity. Thus, according to the British expert N. Watson, France’s foreign policy in the Transcaucasus, especially in the context of its support for Armenia, is a consequence of the dominance of Turkophobic sentiments in policy-making and near-government circles in Paris.

But there is also the possibility that the contradictions between France and Turkey are just a game between Paris and Ankara, and the militarization of Armenia can play into the hands of Turkey, which would not mind a pretext for full-scale military aggression against Armenia in order to satisfy its claims regarding some parts of the territory of Armenia , which have already been repeatedly voiced by Turkey at venues of various levels. And Russia and Armenia have mutual defense obligations, because, despite Yerevan’s statements about freezing membership with the CSTO, a formal break in the defense treaty has not yet occurred. Oh, this hypocritical big politics!

So far, one thing is clear: France’s policy in the Transcaucasus can most likely lead to a new armed conflict in the region, in which two key representatives of the NATO bloc – France and Turkey – will stand behind the direct participants – Armenia and Azerbaijan – only formally on opposite sides of the barricades.

What do they need? Their citizens will not die on the front line...

I. Pliev,
Source: https://cominf.org/node/1166555099

 

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