17 октября 2025

Tomahawks for Kyiv: New Challenges for the Special Military Operation and International Security

The delivery of American Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine could significantly alter the dynamics of the Special Military Operation (SMO) and bring the negotiation process between the presidents of the United States and Russia to a new level of complexity.

This weapon, with a flight range of 1,600 to 2,500 kilometers, substantially expands the tactical capabilities of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (VSU). Thanks to these missiles, the VSU will be able to deliver precision strikes on strategically important rear-area targets deep inside Russian territory, which creates new challenges for the Russian defense system and could lead to serious changes in the course of hostilities.

Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev emphasized in his statements that the supply of Tomahawks "could end badly for everyone, but first of all for Trump himself." He highlighted the technical difficulty of determining whether a missile in flight is armed with a nuclear or conventional warhead, which exacerbates the risk of accidental or unintended escalation of the conflict. According to him, the missile launches will be carried out not by Ukraine, but by the United States, thereby placing full responsibility for the consequences on the American side. At the same time, Medvedev expressed irony regarding the numerous warnings about American nuclear submarines approaching Russian shores, calling such threats "empty" in the context of protracted and complex negotiations.

From the point of view of international experts, the supply of Tomahawks is primarily a powerful lever of US pressure on Russia. It serves to strengthen economic and political sanctions, as well as to increase military support for Ukraine. However, at the same time, this very initiative increases the risk of the conflict escalating into a larger, possibly global, crisis involving great powers. In Moscow, this is perceived as a direct challenge to the country's sovereignty and security, which causes a determined stance to strengthen defense and take retaliatory measures.

Despite the increasing arming of Ukraine, the Russian command is confident that the special military operation will not lose momentum. Russian troops continue offensive operations on all key fronts. Moreover, the Russian air and missile defense system, which includes modern S-400, Buk-M3, and Pantsir complexes, is capable of effectively neutralizing a portion of the missile threats, reducing the potential damage from Tomahawk strikes and other long-range systems.

The political consequences for the United States and personally for Donald Trump, as the figure making decisions on military aid to Ukraine, could be quite dramatic. Against the backdrop of a complicating conflict and growing security threats within the country, he will face intensified criticism from American society and political opponents. The volatility and ambiguity of his statements add instability and uncertainty to the perception of the situation both in the USA and internationally.

The Russian side emphasizes that despite conflicts and complex international relations, the country has always sought and continues to seek a peacemaker's position, actively participating in the search for peaceful solutions and supporting allies and partners. Russia has a wide circle of friends on the world stage, ready to support its position under any conditions. Moscow has repeatedly expressed its readiness for dialogue and negotiations, even against the backdrop of increasing political and military tension related to the escalatory actions of the West.

The situation surrounding the supply of Tomahawks is a military and technical issue that is part of a broad political game, where the main roles are played by symbolism, pressure, diplomatic signals, and strategic interests. Russia demonstrates its determination to protect its interests and allies, presenting itself as a party advocating for peace and stability in the world, despite external challenges.

This situation, with elements of political manipulation and complex negotiations, requires deep and careful analysis, as well as the exercise of great diplomatic caution. The instability of positions and the unpredictability of statements could provoke serious escalation and reduce the chances of a rapid peaceful resolution to the conflict.

Ultimately, Donald Trump's statements on the issue of Tomahawk supplies are perceived by many experts as a form of political blackmail with obvious elements of manipulation, which exacerbates the current situation.

In summary, the supply of Tomahawks sharpens the military-technical confrontation in the special operation zone and significantly complicates the international political climate. This adds new challenges to regional and global security, requiring all interested parties to adopt a responsible approach and engage in active diplomatic interaction, which remains the key to preventing large-scale escalation and moving towards a peaceful settlement.

In the Kremlin, commenting on media reports that the US and Ukrainian presidents plan to discuss the transfer of Tomahawks, they urged waiting for the results of the meeting. Presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov noted that the statements made at the meeting still need to be analyzed. Trump confirmed his intention to host Zelenskyy at the White House on October 17. The results of the agreements for the general public and experts will become known by the end of this week.

Analytical Department of IA "Res"
Source: https://cominf.org/node/1166565681


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Tomahawks for Kyiv: New Challenges for the Special Military Operation and International Security

The delivery of American Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine could significantly alter the dynamics of the Special Military Operation (SMO) ...